Mathematical constructions of COVID virus activity could provide new insight for vaccines, treatment
Mathematical constructions of the action of SARS-CoV-2 and its multiple spikes, which enable its success at infecting cells, can give vaccine developers and pharmaceutical companies alike a more precise picture of what the virus is doing inside us and help fine tune prevention and treatment, mathematical modelers say.
Mathematical construction enables examination of the activity of individual virus particles including the emergence of new spikes — and more severe infection potential — that can result when a single virus particle infects a human cell, says Dr. Arni S.R. Rao, director of the Laboratory for Theory and Mathematical Modeling in the Section of Infectious Diseases at the Medical College of Georgia.
The number of spikes and the way they are distributed on a virus particle are believed to be key in the spread of the virus, Rao and his colleague Dr. Steven G. Krantz, professor of mathematics at Washington University in St. Louis, Missouri, write in the Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications.
Laboratory experiments on virus particles and their bonding, or infection, of cells more typically are done on a group of viruses, they write.
“Right now, we don’t know when a spike bonds with a cell, what happens with that virus particle’s other spikes,” says Rao, the study’s corresponding author. “How many new infected cells are being produced has never been studied for the coronavirus. We need quantification because ultimately the vaccine or pharmaceutical industry needs to target those infected cells,” he says of the additional insight their mathematical methodology, which also enables the study of the growth of the virus’ spikes over time, provides.
Viral load is considered one of the strong predictors of the severity of sickness and risk of death and the number of spikes successfully bonding with cells is an indicator of the viral load, Rao says. PCR, or polymerase chain reaction, which is used for COVID testing, for example, provides viral load by assessing the amount of the virus’ RNA present in a test sample. More